In out, shake it all about.
Although, its all over now. Except it isn't. And there are many reasons for that, mostly because Team Brexit never thought they would win, and Team Leave never thought they would leave, and so no preparation was done in case either side were wrong. The EU has been preparing for months, knowing that the vote was coming, and preparing for either result.
We are now in political limb where Neither The PM, either Boris nor Michael want to push the Article 50 nuclear button. And it is Article 50 that everything now rests.
Article 50 gives the right of any member state to withdraw from the union of it wanted. It sets out that the member state must trigger the notification, and sets out a two year timescale for all negotiations to be completed, if not completed, the member state leaves without that or any deals in place and being a victim of the markets. Being able to trade with almost no one. On Britain's side, no planning was done, not even on the Civil Service who could just think about it, not do any actual work.
To enable a Leave vote, the Brexit Team had to lie and lie big. And when anyone pointed out the lies, they were branded as peddling "project fear" and anyway, who wants to listen to experts. And the very people who should have been pointing these lies out, the press, were all on it, as leaving the EU would benefit their non=tax paying non-UK domiciled multi-billionaires. Without EU rules they can flout competition rules, anti-trust rules and buy a larger and larger proportion of the UK media. The did not care a jot about what was good for their readers or the country.
So the lies: £350 million a week spent on EU membership would be spent on the NHS. No free movement of people, taking back control and Britain would be stronger after we made a trade deal with the EU and the rest of our trading partners: we'd be quids in. But no one challenged the lies. They were retold and retold, and the lie went round the country and no one wanted to listen to the truth or reason.
Of course, a referendum where the voters don't have access to the facts is a sham, but even this was pointed out and we were shouted down.
Cameron, the Labour Party and the rest of the Team Remain, did not try anywhere near hard enough to challenge the lies coming out of Boris' mouth, and so Brexit set the agenda and wasn't challenged.
So, the people voted out. People in areas of the country that received most EU money voted to leave that in other areas. Jo Cox's constituents honoured her memory by also voting to leave. The old overwhelmingly voted to leave more than the young who voted to stay. Tories and UKIPers toted to leave, the other party's supporters voted to stay.
It is possible that the devolved Parliament in Scotland and the two assemblies in Wales and Northern Ireland need to give their agreement in an Article 50 notification, as being in the EU was written into the laws that allowed their creation. Westminster would almost certainly have to vote on the matter, after all the sovereignty of Westminster was what some of the whole charade was about in the first place, Britain making laws for Britain. It is also possible that the PM could trigger the notification, but legally, no one really knows.
Talking of legality, the referendum wasn't legally binding, but with a 72% turnout and a million plus more votes for Leave, it would be very difficult for Cameron or any PM to ignore unless there were compelling reasons. There isn't any real chance of anyone challenging the legality of the result., nor getting a second referendum, but we shall see. All the time the clock is ticking, each day make the remaining 27 members angry and wanting to punish Britain harsher and harsher.
Cameron doesn't want to push the button, he resigned to put that onto someone else and to also delay the pressing. Neither Boris nor Michael Gove want to either, they have been talking about informal talks. Nobody asked Nigel, because he's Nigel. He just says we should be celebrating.
Celebrating what? Well, its like a student who has maxed out their credit cards, but managed to get one last one, so maxed that on a trip to Ibiza, got twatted on E, danced for a fortnight and came back to find all the credit card bills waiting, and no way out. There is nothing to celebrate.
As each day goes by without the button being pressed, the EU gets angrier and angrier, and less likely the button will be pressed. However, now the vote has been made, any future British PM could threaten an Article 50 notification unless they got what it wanted, and so, here we are, in limbo, in cloud cuckoo land, where many people thought it was really this simple, vote and leave, and in reality, as Al Murray says, its more complicated than that. For those that blindly voted to leave and damn the consequences, how does Westminster explain the button has not been pressed yet, and might never will be?
Within an hour or the vote announced, Gove stated that the £350 million figure was a mistake, and later it was also said that the free movement of people would have to be part of any trade deal. And then the sky fell in. Depanding on who you listen to, between £250 billion and £350 billion was lost in value of Brian PLC, meaning it stated the day as the worlds 5th largest economy and by nine it was the 6th. Banks announced plans to move staff abroad. The pound fell off a cliff, and the FTSE lost over 8%. Just like "project fear" said would happen.
Part of me wants us to have to leave, go through depression after depression, no free movement of British people over to Europe, jobs to be lost, house values to plummet and pensions become worthless, as that will teach the sheeple to listen to experts and not political snake oil merchants.
I have no idea what will happen, but the next 48 hours are crucial, with racist attacks on the rise, with anyone not looking "British" being told to get out of our country. This is the ugly face of Out, racist, studpd and proud of it. We have already talked about moving to either Scotland or Denmark, if things get bad.
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4 comments:
I still can't believe this has happened. This is the most damaging thing that has happened to the UK since WWII. A complete betrayal of the younger generations, I'm sickened to the stomach.
Lets see what happens between now and Tuesday evening, if not Article 50 notification by then, never will happen. Not without another referendum or a General Election.
Ian, I have been in turmoil over this. Just cannot believe that stupidity triumphed.
That Article 50 has not been pressed yet, and we have no one willing to do the pressing, it is possible, if not probably that it never will be. If not pressed by the end of today, it is highly likely never to be pressed.
That does not explain away those who voted to leave blindly, and many of whom I know I have now defriended. My neighbours did, and I don't know what to say, however, telling them that their vote might count for nothing might make me smile as I say it.
I am posting some information on my Facebook page, with links on a couple of professional bloggers to follow, but one is down at the moment due to massive increase in traffic, but this one is also good
https://waitingfortax.com/
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