Brexit blah blah blah

It is perhaps the supreme irony in Brexit, in that for many years, the brave Brexiteers have been complaining that membership of the EU menas being forced to accept rules without representation. Although this is, in a word, bollocks, as for the last 45 years Britain has been able as a full member of the EU to shape EU policy and laws. But by accepting what may be an open ended alignment in regulations, be subject to all laws and regulations without a say. So, in order to take back control we have to give up more control.

This is clearly madness on a stick, but where we are now.

As always, Britain accepted, in the end, the deal that the EU offered, as it was always going to be, and now May has to sell it to her party, Parliament and the country. Thing is, if there is no other solution, then the fallback position for the Irish/NI border on January 1st 2021 is that NI will, in effect still be in the SM and CU to avoid a hard border. And to avoid a border between NI and Britain then Britain would have to at all.

And this would be situation until something, anything was arranged to make that obsolete. However, that the solution to the frictionless border in Ireland is both sides being in our out of the SM and CU. But there is no chance Ireland leaving the SM and CU, so NI would have to remain.

So there is the ultimate irony of Brexit, having no representation on the rules that we would have to follow, let the Union itself would be broken apart. And is that what the Brexiteers wanted? Probably not, but that is what happens when you don’t plan, even with two decades in which to do it.

Today, Naughty Nigel was in a fishing boat on the Thames throwing rotting fish in to protest about UK staying in the Common Fisheries Policy for the 21 months of transition. That as a fishing commissioner, he attended one out of 72 fisheries meetings show how real his care for the fishing industry is. Anyway, throwing waste foodstuff in inshore waters is a crime, there are photos of the pillock doing this, so I expect the twat to be arrested.

Thing about the transition is that most of the difficult issues, including Ireland, is delayed until UK leaves the EU. Which is all well and good, but if that were to remain, then Britain would leave the EU and if there were no workable solution, be stuck in some kind of associate membership hell, taking rules and not having a say. In this, the EU gets rid of the UK as a member, but is able to trade with it, and have the four freedoms as normal, possibly forever.

And in a twist, it could be said the referendum was enacted as UK had indeed leaft the EU, as per the question, and that was that. Britain would probably bounce along for many years until it applied to rejoin.

Only fly in the ointment, would be that rejoining the EU is now under the Article 49 process, which takes many years, and Britain would have lost its op-outs and rebate. A version of the hard remain I have mentioned.

Some Brexiteers will not be happy until the UK has left all EU institutions, but many would be happy with having left the EU only, but in doing so have Britain become the thing they said it already is; a vassal state.

The national demographic is getting younger now, with more young voters outnumber the older ones who voted for Brexit, almost certainly in a decade or so, Britain will rejoin the EU, if it leaves, or maybe the terms it leaves on are good enough to remain in that state, well, forever.