What happens after Brexit?

It emerged today, that for every £1 that Labour gets in donations, the Tories get £25. The Conservatives are some 15% ahead in the polls.

Were Johnson not to win, it would be astounding.

But it hasn't stopped he or his ministers lying. Pritti Patel said today, that the Government could not be held responsible for poverty in the country.

Tories have imposed austerity on the country, re-distributed wealth to the top 5%, but that has nothing to do with stuff like food bank use, which is a lifestyle choice.

Johnson can claim a cut in NI contributions will lead to everyone being £500 a month better off, when it would be just £80. The remainder is "an aspiration policy". That the Party had to post a clarification less than 12 hours after Johnson spoke says a lot.

All this is a build up to the fact it is hard to see how Johnson cannot lose the election. If he has a working majority, then the WAB will be passed and so from the 31st January 2020, the UK will no longer me a member of the EU. It will have a few months to negotiate a trade deal to encompass everything else that is not included in the WA.

If no application for an extension is made by the Government by the end of July, then a full exit from the WA is inevitable. But, and a big but, business, the border agency, the EU, and the Customs agency would not be ready.

Given the choice of honouring the political promise of leaving no matter what, and the impending collapse of exports and cross border supply chains, some kind of extension seems inevitable.

As said previously, most trade deals have businesses calling for exceptions to protect native industries. Brexit will be different as businesses will lobby for close alignment with the EU.

And if the need is indeed for speed, then speed will only come about by compromise, and compromise will be via alignment. It comes back to our old friend the sliding scale: you can have lots of trade but little control, of lots of control but little trade. Just choose. You can't have both.

Maybe the reality of the situation will bring honesty int the Brexit debate.

I heard it said today that the UK will never rejoin the EU once things settle down. I think the opposite is true, that there will be a push, sooner or later to rejoin. People want to be able to live, work, study in 27 countries, and they desire of the young will overtake the desires of gammons and swivel eyed loons to live in the 1950s.

For too long, the failures of domestic political policy has been blamed on the EU, when they can't blame the EU, then blame will be on them, no matter how much they kid themselves.

And that includes you, my pretty Pritti.