Where we are

In short, this is the situation May and her Government have put themselves in:

1. Her cabinet are arguing which of two solutions to the NI-Irish Border might solve

2. Either of these two solutions would take at least a decade to implement, if the IT would work

3. The EU have already rejected both these "solutions" last summer

4. The Cabinet have already agreed with the Customs Partnership last year.

5. Boris Johnson, despite agreeing with the idea of Customs Partnership, now calls the idea crazy. It is crazy, but not for the reasons he says.

6. May wants to kick agreement over NO to October, the EU says it has to be sorted out by the end of June.

7. As it has always been, with the 2 year timeframe, the EU is in control, and can keep saying "no", ramping up the pressure on the UK

8. By the Government's own figures, Brexit will result in a contraction of the economy by at least 3%, which is a recession. Worse case would cause a contraction of up to 15%.

9. As the economy contracts, tax revenues shrink, right at the time more people would want unemployment benefits

10. The Japanese Ambassador has stated to MPs that if , post-Brexit, Britain does not have "frictionless" trade with the EU, there will be no Japanese businesses in UK in ten years time.

11. Frictionless trade does not rely on being in either a or the Customs Union. It also need either a or the Single Market and VAT alignment

12. All of this, May, the Cabinet, Parliament, the Civil Service and Press knows.

13. There is no negotiation with the EU, just the Cabinet negotiating with itself

14. At some point, the sooner the better, May has to decide what course to take, and in doing so will spit her party in two, cause her to be ousted, and probably an election.

15. Other than that, no worries.