Saturday 8 February 2020

The next fight

OK, I know I said no more Brexit blogs, but I think this is important, important that we challenge the lies and bullcrap that fills the political discourse right now.

Let's get this straight from the start, Leave won. End of story.

The battle has been won or lost, what matters now is what follows 31st January means the best for the country.

The UK has left the EU, but for the next eleven months, the real effects of this are hidden, so to all intents and purposes, nothing will change.

That will be very different on the first day of 2021.

With the war won, one would have thought that a hint of realism would have begun to be seen, but instead Johnson has continued his lies. Denying there will be any kind of checks at the NI border. There will, this is a matter of fact, and denying reality even at this late stage will make the inevitable look bad for him.

It is important that the UK sees where it is with Brexit, and what needs to be done. That the EU has leverage and time is on their side.

Under international law, the UK is now a 3rd country to the EU, with all the legal effects that entails.

Actually having a plan and able to communicate that, especially as industry who have been very Brexit-sceptic are now the ones who will have to know what Brexit means and have the knowledge to make Brexit work. So, having a viable plan to show that the Government can be taken seriously, should be top priority.

But no, lies and more lies.

And the banning of the words: "brexit", "deal" and "no deal", which matters not a jot as the effects are still very real.

Most of all, reality cannot be avoided. Honesty about how there are no simple solutions to a complicated situation, and that there is no way whatsoever that anything like a functioning trade agreement can be negotiated and ratified in the 11 months available.

It is pointless going over the battles of the past: the lies, the law breaking, the hiding of assessments, the unlawful advice to the Monarch, the data theft, the writing on the bus, the broken promises. All are history.

All eyes must be on January and what happens when the transition agreement ends and reality will hit, in glorious 5G 3D technicolor ultra HD clarity.

That there have been no food or fuel shortages up to now is irrelevant, as the transition means nothing was ever going to change.

The renaming of no deal as an Australia-style trade agreement is yet another lie, as Australia has no FTA with the EU.

Geography will not change.

The UK will have to trade with the EU, and the best perms possible.

The harder the Brexit the harder the border between Britain and NI.

Brexit will make the case for Scottish independence stronger and stronger every day.

Johnson needs to stop refighting the referendum and actually leading. Unless his biggest worry is the splitting of the Conservative Party?

And remainers. Remainers. The UK is not going to rejoin the EU any time soon. If it does, the case for joining, what would be better, different from not being in the EU, will have to be made. Depending on how close the association agreement is with the EU, it might mean that the association so close that rejoining the EU is pointless, like a couple that are living with each other, have a joint bank account and have a family, but marriage is not needed.

We need to fight for the future, not the past. The past is, the future is yet to be.

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