Friday 23 February 2018

Genius or idiot

In the past 20 months of the Brexit process, people have tried to pin the mechovalian pin on the PM, in the hope that there was some grand scheme behind the fog of incompetence. But all you have to do is look at her record as Home Secretary to see she was no good at that either. So, in order to decide what today's events mean, some might say that this is to delay, until the final minute, a decision as to what UK wants from brexit, and if that is single market membership, then it would be too late for the Brexiteers to do anything about it, as the fallback position is regulatory alignment with the EU.

It could be just as true the opposite, an endless delay in deciding to give the UK the excuse to walk out. But they would have to honour the phase 1 agreement. if not, would become untrustworthy on the international trade scene.

May has decided to delay all votes in her Brexit Cabinet until after Easter, in April, meaning that there would be just 5 months left to agree the framework of a trade deal, before the ratification process.

Tlak all day was of an agreement with managed divergence, but then that would be against EU laws, and WTO rules, as any fule no.

So the next few weeks we might know, but then if the phase 1 agreement is not implemented, then there can be no talks on any possible transition.

Oh dearie me.

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