Monday 4 December 2017

Oh the Brexit-cokey

You out your NI in, you pull your NO out. In out, shake it all about.

Today has been a rollercoaster ride in the world of Brexit. Seems like the headline from the Times on Thursday last, was correct that a deal was close.

May went over to Brussels today to me with JC Junker, and just about two a deal was announced, where there would be "regulatory alignment" between Northern Ireland and the EU, and further a deal regarding rights and the financial settlement would soon follow.

So, alls well that ends well?

Not quite, this in effect puts NO in the SM and/or the CU, depending on the exact text, and meaning there would be a difference between NO and the rest of Britain; in other words the hard border would be in the Irish Sea, in effect cutting NI from the rest of the country. It was the most sensible and obvious answer, other than stopping Brexit, and all seemed well.

Until the DUP got wind of it; they are currently propping up May's minority government and had already said they would not accept that outcome. A call between May and Foster meant the deal was delayed in being announced, or maybe even scrapped altogether.

Of course, the fact that an area that voted to remain in the UK getting a bespoke deal going against the referendum question that the UK should leave the UK meant that soon afterwards Scotland's First Minister said that Scotland would also be pushing for the same deal. The mayor of London added that London if exempt could save 10,000 jobs. Wales also liked the idea of a deal which kept them in the SM too.

If it is true that the DUP killed the deal, then May is no longer in power, the DUP's ten MPs are, and what a mess the country is in. Things might change this evening and indeed through the week.

As previously stated wanting two different things isn't a bad thing, but when one things precludes the other because of international trade laws, then you have to give something up. The Brexit headbangers might yet win out and UK crash out without a deal. For sure this is the last chance Britain has to get Europe to listen seriously, screw this us then the EU will just let us get on with the mess that May, Cameron, Johnson, Gove, Fox, Murdoch et all have created. Without a deal this week, companies that were erring, will have to make a hard choice, one which will not be reversed.

This shit got very serious, as it always was, but only the EU were treating it as such. May and co treating a something very complex as something very simple was always going to end in tears, just as it would when the walls of reality closed right in.

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