Saturday 9 July 2016

Should we stay or should we go now?

So, where are we with the Leave thing with the Eu and all that?

Well, each day that goes by is the most dramatic in politics since the day previously.

So, in summary:

1. The Conservative Party have now whittled down the list of six nominees to just two, as Michael Gove was eliminated on Thursday; the two remaining are Teresa May (someone who would like to abolish the Human Rights Act and withdraw Britain from the European Contention on Human Rights) and Andrea Leadsom who thinks stuff like benefits and maternity leave should be abolished. Its like pick a twat competition. However, Mrs Leadsom in her first major interview after getting the nod, made a huge error of judgement in an interview with The Times. Called it the opposite of what she said. So the Time released the transcript, and she still complained. So The Times released the audio of the interview, and it was just as reported. Darn those journalists with their facts. It is likely that no matter what fact emerge, what mistakes are made, it will probably be a close run thing, as Mrs Leadsom is all for full Brexit, as soon as possible, although that in itself does not specify a timeframe.

2. There is a coup in the Labour Party. I can't begin to explain why the MPs of the Party chose this particular moment to try to remover Jeremy Corbyn, but they have, and its all a huge mess. As Corbyn is refusing to resign, and over 100,000 people joined the party in the last two weeks to mostly support him. In the end its a case of who owns the party; the members or the MPs. Nasty and stupid the lot of them, with the Tories in chaos, Labour is even worse and it is embarrassing and stupid.

3. Three separate cases have been brought asking Government lawyers to confirm the consitutional process of triggering an Article 50 notification. This is not necessarily to stop the process, but the clarify whether the PM alone can do the triggering or an Act of Parliament is needed. The first clause of the article makes clear it has to be in line with the leaving country's constitution. I have helped crowd-fund one of these letters, and will also help if the next step is needed in issuing proceedings. We shall see. If an Act is needed, then no matter who is elected as Tory Leader and so PM< they would have to either annul the 1972 act, or get a new act through both Houses; this is just about impossible, and so would probably trigger an election, which in itself would require an annulling of the fixed term act passed during the coalition.

4. As before, Britain is still a full member of the EU and subject to all the rights that that membership entails. However, the pound is plunging in value against almost all other currencies; Britian lost it's much valued triple A rating, and is now just AA. This will mean that borrowing becomes much more expensive for the Government. And as The Chancellor abandoned any hope of balancing Britain's budget at all, not just in 2020, times are going to be tough, with more austerity, more cuts, and cuts in corporation tax to encourage more companies to stay here, thus reducing further income for the State.

Britain has become, in under two weeks, a laughing stock; its people voting for economic suicide (and when this is pointed out, are still demanding it). A 500% rise in hate crimes, racial abuse and other nasty far right incidents, making it even more embarrassing to be British. The vote will probably mean the end of the Union, with Scotland looking to have a 2nd independence vote, it will probably annul the Good Friday Agreement which has brought near peace to Northern Ireland.

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