Monday 1 October 2018

Being resolute in conference.

Yesterday, Jeremy Hunt managed to insult the EU just like his predecessor at the Foreign Office had done, by comparing the EU to the Soviet Union saying it was so hard to leave. At the same time failing to realise that some of the EU27 were under the Soviet yoke until into the 1990s, whole others had popular uprisings crushed by the Soviet Army.

This plays well to the blue rinse brigade at the Tory Conference, and maybe to readers of the Mail and Express, but will be a disaster for those negotiating with the EU, who it appears have access to the internet and can read English so will know of this insult almost as soon as the words left his mouth.

There seems to be a belief by some Brexiteers still, that the EU still owes us something, and should bend over backwards, break their own red lines to enable the car crash that is Brexit to be not as damaging as they must know is going to be.

Talk is of “the deal”, but the deal is an agreement, which has to be acceptable to both the EU and UK, but also to all of the EU27 on the EU’S side, and for the UK Government, has also has to be acceptable to the Cabinet, the party, the DUP. And Parliament.

Looking down the line to if there is an WA agreement, or if there is no WA then Parliament would have to agree on what the Government presented. Whether the Parliament could instruct the Government to go back to start again in the event of a no deal or a bad deal, could well be the constitutional battle of our time.

The Government seems to think that Parliament would be offered to accept the WA or not, and in the case of not, then the only option would be no deal Many think that Parliament can instruct the Government, which comes down to who is in charge. A fundamental question of the UK constitution, is it Parliament or the Government which has sovereignty?

It is thought that the UK has no constitution or is not written down. But there is and it is written down, but it is spread through hundreds, thousands of laws written over the centuries dating back to Magna Carta. Its just not codified, written in one place. So if it came down to it, then the question of supremacy is something that can be found out, but then like everything else in Brexit, the Government would go to the bitter end to beat any challenge to what it says.

And time is ticking, less than 6 months to go now before Brexit day, and a WA will have to be agreed on in the next few weeks, if not sooner. The May would have to get agreement in Parliament, to meet the UK’s constitutional requirements. And that’s when the arguments will begin.

For now, it seems May’s priority is getting through conference this week, with little thought on what the damage to UK’s relationship with the EU will be.

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