Friday 17 February 2023

Deal, or no deal. Again.

Series two, or is it seven, of the Brexit version of Deal or no deal, as the PM and the EU inch nearer a deal to reform the NIP.

Rumours are that there will be an announcement on MOnday next week.

But as Chris Grey says, and he being the best informed and generally best Brexit commentator, that no matter what the Brexiteer hard core and the ERG get, in a few months it won't be enough.

Worse than that, any sign of common sense entering the debate, or process, means that it is the first step to possible alignment with EU standards, or even more.

So, before seeing what the deal might be, or says, they are dismissing it already. Sir David Frost (who negotiated the current deal, and called it a triumph at the time), the DUP and members of the ERG are already railing against it, where any even implied referals to the UCJ would be a step too far, but only because it has the word "Europe" in its title.

Remember, most of the same people who have voted to restrict passage of legislation through Parliament, reducing it to a mere rubber stanping, rather than actual scrutiny, that anyone has legal oversight of their decisions is clearly unacceptable.

The DUP campaigned for Brexit, yet refuse to accept its consequences. One of the very first things I learned about Brexit was that wherever you put the regulatory border would shape the final form of Brexit. If the UK wasn't to be in either the SM or CU, then where the EU's and ours met, there would have to be a border, its just where would be less bad.

Fact is they don't accept the consequences of the very Brexit they helped facilitate.

Any deal would have to be approved by Parliament, and there is more than enough votes in the ERG to vote it down, if the opposition were to vote also against the deal. But, if the opposition voted with the Government, a dea could be passed, but another Conservative PM without the support of the party's backbenchers would mean either yet another leader or a General Election.

Strap yourself in.

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