Tuesday 13 June 2017

Soft, Hard, Chaotic or Great: how'd you want your Brext?

It is now Tuesday, and the Government is currently meeting with those nice DUP chaps and chapesses, trying to thrash out a deal in order to keep the Tories in power. What could possibly go wrong? Well, see my previous post on the subject... Anyway, next week negotiations with the EU27 are planned to start, and Mrs May has replaced half the minister from the Department for Exiting the EU; so much for strong and stable? This has now gone beyond parody really.

The EU have now stated in an interview in the FT today, they are now so concerned with Britain's lack of preparation regarding the talks, that it is being suggested that talks be delayed a year so the EU can prepare once Britain has decided upon its negotiation position. As the EU have shared all documents with Britain, but received very little in return. I can't negotiate with myself was the quote of the day, and maybe the year.

That the PM carries on as though the election did not take place, is remarkable. She did survive the 1922 Committee meeting yesterday, declaring that she was the one who got Britain into this mess and was the right person to get it out! Quite.

Reality is hitting home, as it was always going to, the Brexit Bumblebees bumping their heads against the double glazing or reality I believe I once said. Well, stating that she did not want Britain to eb subject to rulings by the European Court of Justice (ECJ) and will not accept the free movement of people (a basic principle of the single market) really limits what deal Britain could hope to get as a result of negotiations, meaning that any deal would be on the diamond part of the hard spectrum. That or no deal.

The mantra that no deal would be better than a bad deal is being proved to be the lie it always was, but after 51 months since the referendum, there are still no real costing from the Department for Exiting the EU on how much each shade of Brexit would cost the country in lost GDP, or reduction in income for each and every one of us.

The Government has already lost 12.5% of the negotiating time of the Article 50 process by calling an pointless and expensive election that has left her and the Government in a much worse position than before. Not in relation to discussions with the EU, but getting a poor or no deal through both houses of Parliament. Now even harder than it was before the election, a mistake that cost Britain £134million pounds.

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