A simple blog, just to recap the corner that May and the Brexiteers through sheer advance incompetence have painted themselves:
1. UK will leave the EU at 23:00 on 29th March 2019. Or less than 9 months!
2. UK will leave unless the UK government changes its mind. It can.
3. May has ruled out any part of UK being under the jurisdiction of the UCJ, thus ruling out almost any kind of close relationship with the EU.
4. The UK has committed itself to there not being any hard border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland.
5. In order for this to happen, UK or NI would have to be in both the SM and CU and there to be tax equivalence on both sides of the border.
6. May has ruled out NO or Britain being in either the SM or CU, but has agreed on tax.
7. The DUP also want the UK to leave the EU, SM and CU.
8. And there be no hard border.
9. Jeremy Corbyn also wants UK to leave the UK to leave the EU, SM and CU.
10 And ruled out a hard border.
11. In order for the above to be true, then the border would have to be in the Irish Sea, between Ireland (both parts) and Britain.
12. May has ruled this out.
13. So has the DUP.
14. So has Corbyn.
15. So the only solution is for all of UK to remain in the EU, CU and SM.
16. Which May, DUP and Corbyn has ruled out.
17.UK wants flexibility on freedom of movement.
18. This is indivisible from the other 3 freedoms, so the EU will never bend on this, certainly not to what will soon be a 3rd country.
19. In the EU the UK had opt outs. Out of the EU the UK wants opt ins. Free ones if possible. The EY has ruled this out.
20. There has to be a ratification process in the EU27 and EU Parliament for anything else other than a no deal Brexit. This takes six months. The final six months of the A50 process is reserved for ratification.
21. Meaning all discussions/negotiations have to be concluded by the end of September.
22. July, the EU is on holiday, and some of August. Meaning there is just 6 weeks left.
23. There has been no progress in talks since the start of the year; 6 months wasted. DD has met with Barnier for just 4 hours IN THE WHOLE YEAR!
24. The Cabinet is still divided.
25. The HoC has given the Government a blank check on what to do in the run up and after to Brexit day. Ministers can wipe away decades of accumulated personal, social, gender, working rights. With no recourse to the courts, UCJ, anywhere.
26.After the passing of the Withdrawal Bill, companies are making firm plans to either leave, reduce investment or close business in the UK.
27. Loss of jobs will result in less tax.
28. Less tak means either cutting spending or increase taxing in either ways.
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1 comment:
I forgot the biggest one: triggering a pointless election weeks after submitting the A50 letter, asking the nation for a strong backing to play tough with the EU. Instead her government was returned with a majority so reduced, it had to be propped up by the DUP, and every move has been in danger of being overturned by a small group of "rebels".
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