Friday, 17 January 2020

Brexit insanity (part 14,437)

Two of my friends left Twitter yesterday, the pressures of life and social media, coupled with caring so much about the country and people, they felt something had to give.

I know how they feel.

I also gave some thought about writing just about my life, orchids, football and stuff.

To give up writing about Brexit on 31st January is tempting, but then there is so much to do, as a country, between now and the end of the year. I thought about unfollowing ll the Brexit commentators and policy experts on Twitter, and living in bliss. But the shitstorm is still gonna come.

I will continue, even though pointing out the madness and contradictions is pointless. Assuring people something is impossible or will cost huge amounts of money makes them all the more determined to do it anyway. They will make a success out of failure.

Remain failed.

Remain failed to make the logical and factual case for itself.

Remain lost, rather than Leave won.

Remain lost because Leave lied and broke the law, and faced no consequences, and the people behind it were then the people in Government able to cover up their own lying and law-breaking.

But Remain should still have won.

Remain lost, so the whole country will lose too, now.

And in a report by Bloomberg Economics yesterday, showed that the UK is already £130 billion poorer compared to how it would have been if Brexit had not happened. And that will will be a further £70 billion poorer by the end of the year. This is in line with other estimates and reports. Not that Brexiteers will agree. And it can't really be proven one way or another. Getting poorer week on week is hardly noticeable, but packages get smaller, fule goes up and up and wages don't.

As Chris Grey points out in his blog today, the conundrum with Brexit that those who understand what needs to be done don't support Brexit, and those that support Brexit don't understand what or how it needs to be done.

And Johnson has to reconcile this, to come up with a coherent policy that works in the real world. And engage with industry, exporters and other stakeholders to ensure their views and needs are taken on board. This is the battle between Brexit and reality that has been going on for three and a half years, and unless it can be shown how Brexit will work in the real world, rather than the dogmatic, the UK will carry on going into talks and negotiations without a clue what it wants, as a country, or how to get there. And industry, exporters and stakeholders will panic more and more, so that jobs and capital flee the country even quicker.

This is what Johnson will have to do, and maybe it is why, today, the first hint from him that a trade deal cannot be done in a year. That is certainly true, but how with the headbangers at the ERG take that? Not well I assume, using words like betrayal, because in the end, all will betray the great undefined "one true Brexit".

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