Saturday 23 March 2019

On the brink

The Conservatives are about to commit regicide.

May is to be replaced, perhaps today, with someone with the task of delivering brexit in the next few weeks.

There is no doubt that May is unfit for office, she should not really be left along with anything more powerful that round-ended paper scissors. Her speech this week in effect calling Parliament the enemy of the people three years after Jo Cox was murdered was just shocking, and will stand aside Chamberlain's peace in our time speech as being so ill-considered.

She even lost the trust of her whips this week, a sure sign the end had come. They had worked hard to try to unite the Party, and on the other side some Labour MPs were coming round to support the WA. But all that changed on Wednesday.

It doesn't really matter who is PM, as the same problems remain, too little time, too much distrust and clear party and dogmatic lines.

The march yesterday, and now near 5 million who signed the petition make over 10% of the population, numbers that the Brexiteers can only dream of mobilising. Because that march just did not just happen, it has been planned for months, events made it all the more important, as was likely too as the Brexit clock ran down. Meanwhile March for Leave ambled down the countryside in their dozens not hundreds of thousands. Seeing Nigel arriving each evening to down a pint or two with the marchers while behind a @bydonkeys van with a large LED screen reran some of his greatest lies.

The EU has run out of patience, the new PM, if there is one, and Parliament have to decide on a new course and agree in enough numbers to ensure there is no bad faith and a reversal by a subsequent administration on anything that is agreed.

I still think that the UK will leave without agreeing anything, as this requires no effort. It is the default position. Things could change, quickly, but too much change is needed, and that change is needed in people's beliefs, especially in the fundamental Brexiteers.

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