Unknown unknows

It is my understanding that the daily mortality rates the Government releases every afternoon only includes people who have died in hospital, had a positive COVID-19 test and it states COVID-19 on the death certificate.

If a person did not die in hospital, had no positive COVID-19 test, then their death is not counted.

The ONS is compiling data on figures released later, and last figures I saw was that the daily figures are about 20% under reported of actual deaths.

The other thing is that the daily figure is not the actual number who died the in the previous 24 hours, this is a count of those actually confirmed after testing, post mortem. So, many of the 717 deaths yesterday did not due on the 12/13th April, but in March.

In other words, the Government has no idea on what the situation is like now, or if it does, is not saying.

2,099 care homes have reported to have at least one suspect or confirmed case of COVID-19, no data on total infection or mortality rates. And staff working in those institutions have less PPE than those in front line hospitals.

With every day, I have less and less confidence in the Government, and it started out pretty low anyway.

Any relaxing of the current clampdown HAS to be in tandem with testing on a massive scale and tracing contacts of those who test positive, otherwise is more glorious guesswork.

But, I'm sure there's nothing to worry about with Dominic Raab as stand in PM......