Sunday 4 March 2018

Whatever we want

I guess one of the major mistakes that Brexiteers make is thinking that it is just UK that wants something out of Brexit, and fails to realise that Britain is going to have to compromise to get the most important parts of what we want, and that, you know, Ireland, Spain or the EU27 as a whole would want to protects its trade, rights or citizens. And when it turns out that other countries have demands, they are just trying to impose something on brave independent UK.

All bollocks of course, but there has been over two years of this shot and still the message isn't getting through. That the Irish Border issue; UK's only land border with the EU might need solving, and as Britain is doing the leaving, wants to leave and yet have a frictionless border, and yet doesn't want to be in the SM or CU, then come up with something that works in the real world and is in line with WTO rules.

In getting both sides of her party on board with her speech on Friday is one thing, but then taking that and getting Ireland, the EU27 to be happy as well as keeping her party, Parliament on board too, is impossible. Not difficult, but impossible. And then any deal that might be done, or framework agreed, would then have to be ratified by each of the EU27 and the EU Parliament, and failure in any part of the ratification process would bring the whole process crashing down and leave Britain with no deal.

This possibility is not talked about, other than by the legal bloggers I follow, who know that this is a very real possibility, and even if Britain knew what it wanted, what it was prepared to give away and wanted to keep, would make this a dangerous process, but not knowing what we want, or how to get there means that there is no real point in doing any of this, as at the last minute the Wallonia Assembly could veto the deal and leave us with nothing.

This week sees the EU release a text on the trade framework; UK has no idea what it wnats so will be dealing with detailed proposals it hardly understands. What could go wrong.

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