Tuesday 31 July 2018

Eight months to go

In Brexit, there is little that is certain.

One thing that is certain is that unless the Government either delays the implementation of A50 notification or withdraws it, or petitions the EU27 to do so, the UK will leave the EU at 23:00 on 29th March 2019. That is seven months and 30 days from now.

Other than that certainty, there is guesses, predictions. Some of these are better than others, some are not. But anyone who tells you that whatever happens after Brexit is what they forecasted will not be telling the truth.

There is time for things to change, and change they will. I think there will be a political crisis that will either result in May being replaced or there being an election. But I have predicted twice weeks where I thought may would fall, and she survived. So, just guessing on my part.

Various areas of industry have been ramping up pressure, explaining how, from freight haulage to the ready made sandwich industries, Brexit will cause them considerable trouble This didn't stop some headbangers linking "big sandwich" to Ireland and smelling a conspiracy. And to think UK used to be looked on for sobre leadership, now there is conspiracies in Pret's sandwiches, apparently.

And today, Dover District Council and Kent County Council had impact assessment documents leaked to Sky News, in which DDC states that it will not be ready and real concern over no plan B. That and there is no space for any additional facilities in the Eastern Docks. And the Brexiteers state that UK is ready for a no deal. Of course for them it is just an abstract concept, but then like everything Brexit, when you look into any detail, you will see that there is no detail, no plan At all. Never was either, and from people whose entire careers was for this moment, this act, and they had no plan.

That, in a nutshell, is Brexit.

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