Sunday 15 July 2018

Your weekend Brexit

Now that May and her Cabinet, or some of them, have agreed on the White Paper for Brexit and have it published, they seem to think that the hundred of so pages of contradictions means that their role is now over, and all that needs to happen is that the EU agrees and we all live happily ever after.

Failure for the EU to agree means Brexiteers and May being able to lay the blame with the EU rather than with their own hopeless lack of planning.

Let me be clear again, no flavour of Brexit will be good, just degrees of bad to disastrous.

The lie that no deal would be better than a bad deal, is the biggest of them all. The UK trading on WTO rules would decimate the UK economy, end the automotive and aerospace industries which rely on "just in time" supply chains. Putting barriers up to your closest and biggest trading partners is lunacy. The further from your shores a country trades, the more expensive trade becomes. So to make up with the loss of EU trade, any replacement would have to be the best fucking trade deals ever. The Big Kahuna Burger of trade deals, and Liam Fox would have to negotiate them.

See the problem there?

Leaving the EU means leaving all its other institutions, that is the true meaning of Brexit. Take EURATOM; the UK specifically mentioned that in the A50 notification, but this small area shows the unintended results of this foolish course of actions. EURATOM controls the supply and trade in fissionable materials, used for scientific research and medical, and cancer, treatment. Without something to replace EURATOM, UK cannot obtain such materials, scientific research is threatened, and cancer treatment would be at risk.

There was a good reason for leaving EURATOM, but no excuse for not coming up with any idea as to what would replace it once we left. May had two years to come up with something, now has little over 8 months, and the answer is to become associate members with no voting rights; how is that taking back control? Although the UCJ would have no direct jurisdiction in theory, in reality it would.

Once again we come to the question; if this is what May sees as Brexit, then what is the point? It will be not as good as being a member, and will be more expensive and we will be rule takers.

If only May and the Brexiteers had listened to experts who said this would happen, what was the result of all those sill red lines spelled out by May. If only they had not forced out the UK's chief EU negotiator because they didn't like what he was saying.

Today in the Sunday newspapers:

Mail on Sunday: "May: back me or there'll be no Brexit!"

Sunday Telegraph: "Ex-minister: I quite over secret plan to foil Brexit"

Sunday Times: "Davis brands PM "dishonest" over his Brexit alternative"

Sunday Express: "Betrayal of Brexit"

All this is the domestic political squabbles of the Conservative Party, and nothing regarding the realities of actually getting agreement from the EU, or, heavens forbid, what is best of the country.

On the Andy Marr Show today, the PM admitted that the "will of the people" might actually be incompatible with the national interest.

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