Monday 9 July 2018

Those useless Brexiteers

Yesterday, both David Davis and Booris de Piffel Johnson resigned, 40% of Brexit ministers who, for the past two years, have been tasked of making the Brexit project real.

And they have failed.

Failed in the most spectacular way, in that, and in DD's case, he has been a Eurosceptic for the best part of two decades, and in those two decades one would have thought when you main political ambition is to take the UK out of Europe, then he might have come up with a plan. And that he is en ex TA SAS officer, then making a plan is something he knows is essential.

But he did nothing, nothing for two decades, and then once installed as Minister for Brexit, pissed around for two years, was photographed at the first meeting with Barnier, sitting across the table from the EU team, all who had a huge pile of briefing papers and forced smiles. Whilst on the other side, DD had nothing except an inane smile, as though he had just told himself a really funny joke. Some said it showed the EU bound up with paperwork, but I pointed out at the time it looked like a team going into talks well briefed.

I guess I was right about that, as time after time the EU let the UK, under DD's leadership n talks, paint itself into corner after corner, until the fallback position for NI last December settled the issue of the border with Ireland, in a worse case scenario. The UK would find it hard not to honour that, breaking a solemn undertaking in international trade talks, the first such talks it had done for itself in two generations. Not a very good symbol for Global Britain.

But DD bluffed on, huffing and puffing in front of select committees, soundbiting in Parliament, misleading the house (usually a resignation matter) in regard to impact assessments that may or may not have actually existed. May let him carry on, letting him hang himself in incompetence by giving him way too much rope, but at the same time allowing his agreements during talks box her into so many corners that there are only impossible choices left, any of which would bring her Government down. She picked a course last week, and the resulting chaos seen yesterday all came from that. As was always the case, Brexit sounds fine in the abstract, but when details are discussed or looked at, it becomes impossible.

And yet the Brexiteers plough on, Boris is probably making a play to replace May, 80 MPs attended the ERG meeting last night, more than enough if they voted to force a no confidence vote, but like always, the Brexiteers will probably stay away from doing the really brave thing, unless, as in Boris' case, it helps their own careers.

The Conservative Party is now fatally wounded, it will die, the two wings cannot ever be reconciled, not after these past four days, but it will probably have to fight the next election as it is, under a leader of one Brexit bent or the other, and if Labour decides to go full remain, then electoral oblivion beckons. A new centralist party will be formed, maybe with MPs from the Labour right and Tory left, joining with the Lib Dems, and who knows, peace may settle on British politics once again.

But before then, things will get worse, much, much worse. So buckle up, its going to be a bumpy ride.

No comments: