Friday 26 January 2018

Of cake and Brexit

There is a new euphemism in Brussels now: cake. Whenever a minister of MEP asks something impossible of an aide, they reply, that's a bit cake, isn't it?

So much for Boris' have cake and eat it rhetoric, its now a joke. As so is the Foreign Secretary, of course.

Today, the EU leaked their guidelines for the 2nd phase of talks. Less guidelines and more like a list of demands and conditions UK will have to accept. These are dressed up as negotiations, but are anything but. And as with phase 1, Britain will baulk, bluster and then as the clock ticks down, accept meekly, trying to make a defeat sound like a victory.

DD also made a speech today, listing how he sees Phase 2 going and what he demands. These are just words, and words mainly for consumption by his party and the newspapers. The EU will be watching and laughing.

The day is getting closer when the Brexiteers in the Cabinet will have to stop the bluster and face reality. But while they are allowed to talk in generalities, they can make it all sound fine, but when pushed to a detail, almost any detail, there is no idea there. No clue. There is no plan, never was, and now with just nine months to go before the ratification process HAS to start, all we have is some vague ambitions, yet to form a clear picture.

Time is up, and when reality of what will have to be accepted to keep what is left of the economy going, will the Conservative Party survive? Other than the 70,000 member, would anyone car. I think it will split; a rump Eurosceptic part will fester and eat itself, and the rest will form a right of centre centralist party, and as for Labour; who knows? Jeremy's position is solid with the support of Momentum, but at some point they are going to have to face reality too, have policies that work in the real world, and that political dogma is not a cue all in the same way that privatisation isn't either.

And everyone will blame each other. Which will be nice.

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