Wednesday 2 May 2018

Brexit War

Today, May's Brexit War Cabinet is meeting. I say war, its really warring, as nearly two years after the referendum, the Cabinet, of those in the war cabinet, cannot agree on what Brexit it. Or should be.

That the Prime Minister of this once great country, put in motion a process that last two years, not knowing what she wanted at the end, had not looked at the issues or identified risks says so much.

Let us not forget, that some of the Brexiteers have been banging on about this for years, twenty years, and yet no one had any idea of any issues, let alone how to overcome them. And the biggest one, of course, is how to solve the NI/Irish border issue.

That is still yet to be solved, and DD wants to put that back to October. The EU disagrees of course.

There are 60 members of the party-within-a-party that is the European Research Group, ERG, lead by JRM, and they are dictating terms to the PM, not taking into account what their policy of leaving the EU, SM, CU and everything else, all in the name of free trade, and yet most of high volume manufacturing in UK is owned by overseas companies, who are here because we are in the EU and have access to 300 million potential customers.

This is an irrelevance to the ERG, and JRM who the BBC seem to be treating as some kind of alternative PM, in the same way they did with Farrage. And I cannot explain why they let his free and easy relationship with truth and reality pass so easily. John Humphries might support Brexit, but that does not explain his lack of journalistic questioning in the mornings on Radio 4, where he seems to let waffle count as a detailed rebuttal when "questioning" JRM, but adopt an aggressive tone when anyone who suggests anything less than hard Brexit.

The decision, by May, on what kind of Brexit to pursue is likely to be delayed. Interesting that the two choices for CU proposed have already be rejected by the EU months ago. So, in essence, the Cabinet is spitting itself in two by arguing about two solutions deemed unacceptable by the EU and Ireland. So not listening to the organisation you are negotiating with seems a way in which you are going to fail in a big way. This is incompetence on a grand scale, so bad I don't really know where to begin. That neither of the two unacceptable solutions will be ready by the end of the potential transition deal, if they would ever work at all, in the case of the technological solution.

So, the unacceptable turns out to be impossible, and yet they are still arguing about them.

And the aim to be be able to negotiate trade deals post-Brexit. Trade in what, bitter tears? Innoventive jams? In the modern world, trading blocks and huge countries with economies will dictate terms of deals, to leave the biggest and richest bloc in the name of free trade is madness of the highest order.

So many people and organisations will have to answer in the lean years, post Brexit, as to why they acted the way they did, failed to inform people of the real risks to jobs, houses, the country's wealth. It will be on the scale of the Chilcot inquiry, and questions will be asked, documents discovered. But even if that happens, it will be to late to reverse the damage already done.

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