Thursday 15 November 2018

Brexit omnishamblesclusterfuck

Through the last 28 months since the referendum, I have tried to record the way Brexit has gone, through the twists and turns, the lies and refusal to accept facts about what Brexit and what form it would take.

Yesterday, I wrote that there had been agreement in Cabinet over the WA and outline political statement, but that probably wouldn’t last.

Indeed, resignations started just after breakfast and the chaos has only got worse through the day.

It is worth noting to start with, that the WA that was agreed between the EU and UK is the only deal on the table, and there is no chance that the EU will accept any amendments now. The idea that another Conservative minister or Labour one for that matter could somehow be able to prise out some wonderful new concessions from the EU is pure fantasy.

The choices facing the UK is now stark: accept the WA as is, no deal or no Brexit.

Esther McVey resigned, Dominic Raab resigned, various junior minister resigned, Michael Gove refused to take up Raab’s position unless he could start negotiating again.

This is where we are.

The ERG are mobilising to put in letters of no confidence on May to the 1922 Committee, short of what is needed to trigger a challenge, but getting closer, and in the Commons, May was quizzed and battered for three hours my MPs of all sides, just two MPs offered her support. She is just about alone, in Government but not in power.

Both Boris and JRM are shaping up for a leadership challenge.

The Government and Conservative Party are ripping themselves apart, and it is hard to see how either can be put back together.

Raab spoke of not being able to reconcile what was said to the people and reality, or something. Thing is what was promised was always impossible, and was going to come down to how the Irish Border was to be addressed. A hard Brexit would have demanded a hard border, even anything else other than being in both the CU and SM would have demanded a hard border. How that was going to sit with the Good Friday Agreement and other domestic legislation which makes such a think illegal.

May is to address the nation at five this evening. Anything could happen.

And no EU officials have thought to consider their positions.

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