Friday 16 November 2018

Your Brexit hangover reality check

This is your periodic reminder that the UK will leave the EU at 23::00 hrs GMT on 29th March 2019 unless something extraordinary happens.

Also:

The WA and political framework agreement that May presented to her Cabinet and the country this week is the only offer that the EU will make. It is this or the other two choices.

No other politicians, either Conservative or Labour could or can have obtained anything better. To claim otherwise is a lie.

Brexiteers have filled the main Brexit posts; Minister for Brexit and Foreign Trade Minister, so are responsible, directly, for where the country is now. Have remain leaning MPs been in those positions, it might be different, but DD and Raab were Ministers for Brexit. In criticising the WA they are, directly, criticising their own negotiation skills, as it was they who were directly responsible.

There is no time to arrange a second referendum, even if there were there is no guarantee it would bring a different result: remain was expected to win in 2016.

Either extending or pausing the A50 would require UK to have EU elections, and UK MEPs sit in Brussels for 5 years.

Revoking A50 (probably) needs the approval of the EU27, and UK would only get that if they thought UK was acting in Good Faith, and UK has burned all of that.

There is no Brexit bonus, may lied again at her news conference last night, claiming there would be more money for the NHS, housing and public sector pay. The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) says public finances will be hit by £45 billion. A YEAR.

The WA and political framework agreement is still on the table, and as the clock ticks down, the UK will probably have to accept it, no matter what happened yesterday.

Labour is no better, in Corbyn they have a Brexiteer who has lost many times more front bench shadow ministers than May has lost hers, all through whipping his party, against party policy, to support May’s Brexit plans.

The Irish Border was always going to be critical, you can either have open border, but have a CU and SM or have a hard border and no CU and SM. Simple choice, there is no other.

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