Tuesday Brexit

It is possible, that today, Tuesday 26th February, no deal, and maybe hard Brexot and even Brexit itself might have been fatally wounded.

It is hard to keep up with all what is said in the Commons, but the upshot is May is now over a barrel with the inevitability that Brexit will be delayed, and probably by a long time.

Not that the Brexiteers will take this laying down, and will fight all the way. Indeed Leave Means Leave threatened to launch a legal bid to force Brexit to go ahead on 29th March.

It has been suggested by some that a delay of at least a year will happen, then a second referendum in which people will vote for the WA or no Brexit, and that probably remain will win. But that assumption isn’t a given, as there will be a huge campaign of misinformation by the Brexiteers, indeed that has started already with Lord Goldsmith stating, in his miond, the referendum would be between May’s “flawed” deal and no deal. An establishment stitch up.

That it was his, and the other Brexiteer’s lack of planning and flowed promises that has brought Brexit to this point can be just swept under the carpet

What happens now is anyone’s guess. The Dup and Brexiteers will fight it, but enough other MPs will vote for the delay, or against May’s deal, or both.

Probably.

So, in the even the MV is defeated on March 12, the next day MPs are to be offered a vote on extending A50, although that is a request as all of the EU27 would have to agree. But as previously stated, two months extension, is in effect just two weeks as ratification of the WA by the EU Parliament has to take place before the current session ends in mid April, unless the EU extends that.

Question is, what is the point if there is nothing to discuss, why not vote now and get it out of the way? May wants to ramp up the pressure in the hope more MPs go for the WA than vote against it.