Saturday 29 September 2018

Reality check

I would like to think I have always been consistent with my commentary on Brexit, in what is needed, what the challenges are and how stupid the whole thing is.

Let us look at the Irish border, that is the border between Ireland and Northern Ireland. All sides agree that the target is to have no hard border on the island, even the DUp and Brexiteers agree that, but over-riding that is the need for Brexit, and in many cases, as hard as possible.

In order for there to be a no, or frictionless, border, there must be the same rules on both sides. And in particular, the SM, CU and tex equivalence. Or, and agreement in place between the EU and UK, or at least one that covers the EU and NI that works in the same way, and is watertight legally.

Take away any of those three, CU, SM or tax, and there has to be a hard border.

A hard border is not punative nor a punishment by the EU, but a direct result of Brexit, or a result of those pushing Brexit not realising what the consequences would be.

But that is where we are. And the media, rather than calling out these liars and brigands for the liars they are, this is all reported word for word.

That Boris de Piffel Johnson, who was at the time Foreign and Commonwealth Secretary not realising at the time, nor for nearly 5 months, what the backstop agreement that he and the rest of the Cabinet had agreed to. Twice, actually meant. Either he is incompetent or a liar. Or both.

To still believe over two years after the referendum that Brexit would have no consequences on cross-border trade shows that nothing has been learned.

In order for May's Chequers Paper or Johnson's Canada Plus newspaper article to be even considered, would require the EU to allow a third country to pick which one of the four freedoms it could follow and which is need not. Even today in the papers there is a suggestion there is a weakening in some EU capital cities. I don't think so, because this would mean the foundations of the SM be broken, and if the UK gets what it wanted, so would all third party countries, and EU members. It's just not going to fly.

And again today, it was suggested that German Car makers would force some kind of deal through, this is what Brexiteers have been saying since the referendum, so when will the Brexiteers admit this is just a busted flush? Time and time again, German car makers have said that the integrity of the SM is more important to them than a WA with UK on unfavourable terms.

Today, it is six months until Brexit day, and the Brexiteers are trotting out the same lies they were two years ago. Like we are trapped in some special circle of hell.

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