Sunday 28 July 2019

No deal, no deal, no deal

Johnson has now announced a renegotiation of the backstop or time limiting it is not now enough, it needs to go totally.

This is a sea change, as he knows, as does anyone with a brain, that the three parts of the WA will not be given up in any circumstances. Even in a no deal.

A no deal will require cooperation once it becomes clear how chaotic things are, but the EU will hold firm, and the prerequisite for talks on anything beginning will the be the three parts of the WA, but this time to economic and probable social meltdown in the UK.

What would Johnson do this, other than to paint the EU as the bad guys, getting his blame in early. He knows not only will the EU not scrap the backstop, they won't reopen the WA at all, other than to change the WA to be NI specific.

If this is to be the actual policy, Johnson will drive the country over an economic cliff with his foot flat to the floor.

This will hurt.

For a long time.

Maybe a decade.

Maybe longer.

The loss of production and GDP will never be recovered. The country will be forever poorer.

It will take a generation for the country to regain the trust of the international community.

Meanwhile, Trump has been stepping up his Twitter attacks, in-between racist attacks on anyone not white, on the WTO, with the clear threat to undermine it until it is changed to favour the US.

This is the same WTO that Brexiteers claim will be the savour of UK exports and industry.

Johnson's instance that blind optimism with triumph over reality and that being trumpeted on the front pages of many of the national newspapers would be funny if the result were not going to be so bad.

Yes, clearly Brexit is going so badly because we don't believe in it enough. Its not the Brexiteers lack of a plan thats wrong, its remoaners lack of belief that is dragging Brexit down.

FFS.

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