Monday, 10 December 2018

Chaos Monday

This was always going to be a difficult day, and me writing at this point means i shall probably have to update this or write another before the end of the day.

First of all, this morning, The Good Law Project won a comprehensive victory when the UCJ handed down its judgement on the A50 case. This is not the full judgement, just the suary, and it turns out that the UK can withdraw its A50 notification at any time between now and 22:29 on 29th March next year, and can remain in the EU on the terms it is on now. No negotiation needed, no EU27 agreement needed.

But it becaomes clear now that the UK Government has spent months and hundreds of thousands of pounds fighting this case it knew was going to lose, on the offchance it could win a technical victory in one appeal or another, so to limit the choices that Parliament would have in deciding on the WA or when May ran out of time. This is limiting democracy, and the Government trying to limit its own choices.

It sounds crazy, but this is not compatible with the stated aim of Brexit of giving back sovereignty and control to Parliament. And even more fundamental than that, it shows that as a member of the EU, the UK or any member state is above the EU. The EU cannot force a member state to leave nor to stay. Though, this did not stop Farrage saying that this is the EU interfering in UK politics, but the UCJ giving judgement on EU law, isn't thats what it is there for? And Nigel is a massive cock.

Simple as that.

And as I write this, May has flown to Brussels to try to get the text on the backstop reworded to make it appear that Parliament has a greater say.

It is suggested too, that the meaningful vote tomorrow has been pulled, meaning the whole ratification process is in tatters. The DUP won't support the WA, as they can't support the backstop, so they say, but this means they wan't a no deal Brexit, with the damage that would do for Ireland and the GFA, but then, as I have said before, they were the only party that voted against that 20 years ago, and this goes in the face of the actual vote in NI that the electorate wanted to stay in the EU, so the DUP looking after itself, not NI.

No change there then.

And the vote has been delayed, at least in the Commons, but the Lords will vote on it tonight after defeating a Government motion to shelve the vote. May acknowledges that the WA with the backstop can get through Parliamant, so is trying to get it reworded, but the backstop has to be there be a backstop, and it has to be triggered at some point.

It is an issue because if the solutions, technological or maximum facilitation or whatever were feasible in the next four years, the Brexiteers would be fine with the backstop. That they are fighting it so hard is their admission that their alternative plans will not work, probably ever.

The EU is not happy at all, as this does not deliver certainty, certainty that there will or won't be a deal, and there will be no renegotiation on the WA, the backstop is there, it depends whether UK wants Brexit, if it does, does it want a WA or not?

Even for May, this is chaos.

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