Monday, 27 May 2019

EU election results: what does it mean?

Well, depends.

Of course.

But, despite what Fleet Street and BBC says, this was not a massive swing towards Leave. The percentage of votes that UKIP (under leader Nigel) compared to the Brexit Party (under leader Nigel), shows a very modest rise indeed.

What we can say, is that parties that said, without doubt, whether they were leave or remain did well.

Brexit Party did well for Leave, but LibDems, Change, The Greens, and the Welsh and Scottish Nationalists polled, combines a good five points ahead of the combined Brexit/UKIP vote.

So, what does it mean?

Well, as the Conservatives were thrashed, I have not seen what their total vote share was, but I heard predictions of less than 10%, and Labour hemoraging votes to the Brexit Party in the north and the Lib Dems in the south, picking a policy and sticking to it might help.

If the Conservatives see the result that driving for a harder, quicker Brexit, then they are missing on how many votes they lost to the Remain Parties, and for Labour, only being vague on a second referendum, even to confirm no deal or no Brexit was a major mistake.

Britain is as divided as before, and despite predictions of a heavy vote, it was less than in several previous EU elections

It fixes or proves nothing, only for those clutching at straws.

You are welcome.

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