Monday 30 September 2019

Welcome to the month of chaos

It is the 1st of October, and in 31 days, 17 and a half hours, the UK will leave the EU by automatic operation of international law.

No deal is the default.

To avoid no deal, the UK and EU agree a WA (they already have) or,

A50 is revoked.

There is the possibility of a further extension, but the three outcomes above are the only ones available.

An extension would probably be acceptable for an election or referendum, but no for any more May-style can-kicking.

Unless, there was a change in Government.

The PM could be sacked by the Queen.

Or he could lose a VoNC and a Government of National Unity (GNU) could take his place, if that GNU could command the confidence of The House.

The only change to the WA is the backstop being returned to a being NI only, rather than applicable to the whole UK.

Johnson and his brave band of Brexiteers are trying hard to find a way out, to come up with alternate alternative arrangements to fix the NI border. They will fail. Fail because the UK and EU looked into this during the WA negotiations, and because Johnson and Co are fucking useless, they barely understand now what the EU is, let alone a CU or SM and rules governing both.

Its like watching goldfish trying to solve simultaneous equations.

Entertaining for a while, but you end up wanting grown ups to take charge. The Brexiteers sacked all the grown ups

Johnson will today ask the EU to ignore any request from Parliament to extend A50. They won't. Of course,

The big plan to have no hard border is, to have TWO hard borders, one either side of the real border, and electronic tracking of freight and cars. Because Republicans would love the UK Government to track their cars electronically, they would love it.

Love it.

The game is up for Johnson, and like a spurned lover who says he'll change, would love to go shopping every Saturday instead of boozing down the pub, at the Tory Conference, they are promising spending on everything: hospitals, imaginary hospitals, roads, more roads, raise the minimum wage and so on. At the same time as tax receipts would be falling, unemployment would be rising.

We can change, precious, yes we can. Trusts us with Brexits, trusts us with the economie, precious.

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