Thursday 11 April 2019

I told you so

Back in 2017, I said that the last part of Brexit the UK would be in control of was when to submit the A50 notification. Once we did that, the rest of Brexit would be what the EU decided to offer us, offer us based on our, or May's, red lines.

The EU's leverage was made stronger with each day as time passed and Brexit day got nearer and nearer.

This should not have been a surprise, and yet the Brexiteers wailed that the EU was using the two year period to their advantage. You don't say?

So it came to pass that the UK PM spent the evening sitting outside the meeting room all evening until the wee small hours whilst the EU decided what length of extension it would off the EU.

And however long it was, May would have to accept, as the alternative would have either been no deal or no Brexit on Friday.

The sting in the tail is that the EU will meet again on June 1st to review the UK progress, if there is any.

The UK is on special measures.

The UK now has until 31st October to get its act together, but:

Parliament rose at 17:00 today and will not sit until 23rd April because of the Easter recess.

There will then likely be a Conservative Leadership campaign as May will probably ousted. The contest could last between three and six weeks.

Parliament will then rise through July and August for summer recess.

September is Party Conference season.

Which brings us to October when Brexit is due to happen at the end of.

Use the time well, said Claude Junker.

May today told MPs it was their "patriotic duty" to pass her WA.

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